Axis of Right

Three Native Rhode Islanders Commenting From the Right on Politics and Anything Else

Archive for October, 2006

John Kerry’s a Dork

Posted by Ryan on October 31, 2006

(And a few other words that are not appropriate for this website.)

After trashing the troops [again] he offers a non-apology about his statement and blames Bush for the whole to-do. McCain, Snow, Hannity and others have already chimed in as this story develops to help further contrast the Republican philosophy of victory through persistence and adaptation, and the Democrat philosophy that we cut and run.

Nothing frightens me more this Halloween than the prospect that this guy will be in the majority party in 8 days. A party who has members that agree with him.

Posted in Politics | 2 Comments »

Shock at the Slimes

Posted by Ryan on October 31, 2006

The New York Slimes has decided not to endorse any Republicans for the first time in over 30 years. I was shocked to learn they ever had!

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Changing Tide?

Posted by Sal on October 31, 2006

Whether or not he ends up victorious, it is possible that the candidacy of Lt. Governor Michael Steele for the U.S. Senate may end up marking the beginning of a political shift in this country. Today, six prominent Maryland African American democrats endorsed Michael Steele for the U.S. Senate, stating that the Democratic party was taking the Black community for granted. The Democrats always count on the black vote, yet:

  • They have only elected two Black Senators in the history of their party (Carol Moseley Braun and Barack Obama), while the Republicans have elected three (Hiram Rhodes Revels, Blanche K. Bruce, and Edward W. Brooke), and if Michael Steele wins, four.
  • They are at odds with Black voters on one of the most important issues to Blacks, that of education
  • They are at odds on many moral issues that are important to African American Christians.
  • They had a chance to nominate an African American to oppose Michael Steele, but didn’t.

It is time the African American community came home to the party of their roots, the Party that abolished slavery, and the party that wants to give them the limitless opportunities that this country can offer them.

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Rovian Optimism

Posted by Sal on October 30, 2006

In spite of all the negative press regarding the Republican’s prospects in November, one man remains optimistic. Karl Rove, in an interview on NPR’s All Things Considered states that according to his own internal polls, the Republicans will keep a majority of both houses of Congress. Among the more colorful exchanges:

SIEGEL: We are in the home stretch though and many would consider you on the optimistic end of realism about…

ROVE: Not that you would exhibit a bias, you just making a comment.

SIEGEL: I’m looking at all the same polls that you are looking at.

ROVE: No, you are not. I’m looking at 68 polls a week for candidates for the US House and US Senate, and Governor and you may be looking at 4-5 public polls a week that talk attitudes nationally.

SIEGEL: I don’t want to have you to call races…

ROVE: I’m looking at all of these Robert and adding them up. I add up to a Republican Senate and Republican House. You may end up with a different math but you are entitled to your math and I’m entitled to THE math.

SIEGEL: I don’t know if we’re entitled to a different math but your…

ROVE: I said THE math.

The drive-by media has been pounding the fact into our heads that the Democrats will sweep on November 7. But is this really the case? Are the media’s polls still hopelessly flawed, based on an old system of elections in which the Democrats beat the Republicans in voter turnout initiatives, and all politics was about local issues? The more I see, the more skeptical I am that the media is just trying to influence the outcome rather than reporting valid data with these polls. Let’s look at the last several elections and the media coverage:

  • 1994: No one in the Drive-by media seriously predicted the Republican take-over. Yet the Republicans came in and took over both chambers for the first time in decades.
  • 1996: The drive-by media, counting 1994 as a fluke, predicted that the congress would go the way of Bill Clinton. If he were re-elected, the congress would revert back to the Democrats. If he wasn’t, it would stay Republican. After the elections, they chalked it up to a “pro-incumbancy” election.
  • 1998: The media predicted that the fallout over impeachment would bring the Dems back to power.
  • 2000: Media was somewhat non-committal about the congressional elections, focusing more on the Presidency.
  • 2002: Media predicted that Americans, sick of G.W. Bush, would put the Dems back in power because people liked “Divided Government”. Republicans Swept.
  • 2004: A victory was predicted for Kerry, and with him the Dems were predicted to pick up many seats. Republicans increased to a 55-seat majority.
  • 2006: The year of the Democrat, according to the Drive-by Media. They are already calling San Fran Nan “Speaker Pelosi”. We’ll see…

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Bush Brings Out an Ol’ Goodie

Posted by Ryan on October 29, 2006

Speaking in his first official campaign appearance of 2006, President Bush revived the old “Just say no!” chant in reference to voting Democratic this year. He got the crowd involved chanting and calling back with verve. Hopefully the base will be more energized as shades of Ronald the Great are entering this campaign.

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Random Thought on Hannity

Posted by Mike on October 27, 2006

Count Michael Jackson and R. Kelly in as Hannity listeners today.

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Cardin Courts Black Vote . . . Oh, Wait Never Mind

Posted by Mike on October 27, 2006

Licking his wounds from a debate the night before, Maryland Democrat Senate candidate Ben Cardin ducked a debate against Republican Mike Steele which was to have been hosted by the NAALCP. This act of cowardice may give Steele the boost he needs to put him over the top.

Polls in Maryland have consistently shown a lack of enthusiasm for Cardin among black voters, a traditional Democrat voting block. Couple that with the fact that the Democrat party hand-picked Cardin over former NAALCP President Kweisi Mfume and it becomes clear that the Democrat is in trouble. To top it off, Cardin is clearly stumbling. Every public poll shows his lead in single digits. One survey even shows the race as a tie. The great thing about these polls is that they were taken before danger reared its ugly head and Cardin turned his tail and fled.

Adding to Cardin’s worries is the fact Steele has that special something that even many Presidents lack. This was made that abundantly clear in 2004 at the Republican Convention. This year, Steele has not disappointed. He has proven himself as a formidable politician. His political ads are some of the best I’ve ever seen. Steele is doing everything right.

As one of the bluest states in the nation, all Maryland Democrats need to do is retain the black vote and victory is theirs. Cardin’s strategy, stand up the NAALCP when you’re opponent is a black man. Way to go Cardin!

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Stick a Fork in Jim Webb

Posted by Mike on October 26, 2006

Tonight, Senator George Allen’s campaign issued a press release exposing Jim Webb’s sexually explicit writings. This race was over before the bombshell, but now it’s really over. The trouble for Mr. Webb lies not only in the sexually explicit nature of his writings, but also in the fact that some of the sexually graphic excerpts dealt with underage children. Click here for the story and excerpts on Drudge. (WARNING: if you think you understand the meaning of “twisted”, think again). This story raises several issues.

One issue concerns the media. These writings are from a published novel written by the candidate himself. Why haven’t we heard about these passages before? If some Republican candidate had written these passages, we would have heard about them decades ago. Their investigative journalism only applies to those on the right. The media managed to hunt down people who allegedly knew Allen as far back as the 1970s, but couldn’t find the time to simply open the book written by Webb. Their bias is mindboggling.

No worries though. George Allen has now proven that he is a serious contender for 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. Sure he was a contender before but the Democrats have created a political force. Before this campaign even started, liberals hoped to weaken Allen’s Presidential ambitions by recruiting a pacifist war hero to give him a political dogfight.

As the campaign began, the Democrats flung every piece of sludge in their arsenal at Allen. First, they kidded themselves into thinking Allen’s macaca comment made Webb Senateworthy. Then they trotted out a liberal professor to claim that Allen used racial epithets in the 1970s, only to have the professor recant. Trouble then reared its ugly head for the libs when it turned out that Mr. Webb’s history of racial tolerance didn’t appear to be something to brag about. The tolerant liberals also thought they could turn Christian conservatives against Allen by bringing up his mother’s Jewish heritage as if it were relevant to the campaign. In response, Allen flashed his political brilliance by refocusing the campaign on the Democrats’ traditional weakness, issues. Now, we learn the Democrats’ latest war hero is also a twisted perv.

Allen always had the experience necessary to be President. He gained valuable executive branch experience as Governor of Virginia from 1994-1998. Following a successful stint as Governor, Allen challenged and defeated a powerful incumbent to become Virginia’s Senator in 2000. In 2004, Allen led the National Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee, recruiting top-notch candidates and leading the Republicans to a 4-seat gain in the Senate, knocking off the Democrat party leader in the process. Now he will survive a smear campaign, proving he can handle whatever She Who Must Not Be Named is cooking up in her cauldron.

Allen is an optimistic and committed conservative who comes across well on television. In an effort to weaken him, Democrats nominated a monster. Unfortunately for them they also created a political monster. Hakuna Macaca!

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Jerry Agar: Worth a Shot

Posted by Mike on October 26, 2006

I’d like to recommend Jerry Agar’s radio show on WABC in New York City. He is a relatively new addition to the WABC lineup, broadcasting in the 8 PM timeslot. He replaced Laura Ingraham who was bumped to 10 PM. (dumb move WABC). Despite bumping Ingraham, Agar is worth a listen.

I especially appreciate Agar because in today’s climate, too many “conservatives” mistakenly believe they are conservative merely because they would tax less than Democrats, spend smaller amounts of other people’s money than Democrats, meddle in people’s lives less than Democrats, and socially engineer less than Democrats. Of course, taxing, spending, meddling and socially engineering in lower doses does not a conservative make. It merely makes on less arrogant and insane than Democrats. Not exactly something to brag about.

Agar is a different breed. He is a man with a unique familiarity with and understanding of conservatism. He explains the underlying conservative philosophy in a forceful and articulate manner, while honestly applying that philosophy to a given situation. It’s refreshing to hear conservative radio that rises above the tit-for-tat gotcha game that plagues even some of the best political broadcasts.

Most importantly, the show is entertaining. The topics are not stale, he is rude to liberals (although his rudeness is not as polished as Mark Levin’s, Agar is still entertaining) and his forceful style is refreshing.

Jerry Agar can be heard on WABC Monday through Friday at 8 PM. Give him a shot.

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Rush Limbaugh Endorses Kean Jr.

Posted by Mike on October 25, 2006

Rush Limbaugh just extended an olive branch to Tom Kean Jr. by endorsing him in his bid for the Senate. According to Rush, NJ voters should vote for Kean because “We need another Lincoln Chafee.” Heh.


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Levin May Have Elected Menendez. Does it Really Matter?

Posted by Mike on October 25, 2006

Last night, I listened to Mark Levin on WABC. Responding to a press release for Republican Senate candidate Tom Kean Jr. slandering Rush Limbaugh, Levin stated that he couldn’t vote for Kean. What followed was call after call from conservatives who intend, among other things, to stay home, write in Santorum (my favorite response), or simply leave the paradise that is New Jersey. Kean needs to reach out to the political center if he wants to win, but he also needs support from normal Americans. Levin may have convinced enough normal Americans to stay home. Menendez should be thrilled.

Levin acknowledged the bind in which NJ conservatives find themselves. The Democrat is a partisan, liberal crook. The Republican is RINO scum who obviously has no problem running to the nearest camera in Chuck Schumer fashion to criticize conservatives (falsely in this case) in a pathetic attempt to win the fawning admiration of the liberal media. New Jersey pubbies are in a difficult position. I’d probably stick with Kean because he supports tax cuts and the war in Iraq. That said, I understand Levin’s frustration.

Several in the leftist media claim that Rush Limbaugh mocked Michael J. Fox’s Parkinson’s disease on his program. This did not happen. Limbaugh simply argued that like so many others, Fox was being exploited as a victim and infallible human shield for a libeal point of view. Limbaugh was sympathetic. There was no mocking. For Kean to parrot this leftist line is despicable. Kean does not deserve to be a United States Senator. The trouble is, niether does Menendez.

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Michael Barone’s Projections (House)

Posted by Mike on October 25, 2006

Predictions are a difficult business. This is especially true in politics. This is especially true when it comes to the House of Representatives. This is especially true in a year when you have an avalanche of Democrat-oversampled media push polls designed to depress conservative turnout.

I’ve been told many times that I have a pretty good track record when it comes to predicting the outcomes of elections, but I will not even venture a guess when it comes to this year’s House races because I have been fairly inattentive to the big picture. Rather than pontificating on something I know little about, I’ll provide a link to Michael Barone’s projections.

If you choose to follow only one political prophet, follow Barone. His track record on political fortune telling is second to none. In 1994, Barone was the first pundit to suggest that Republicans could win control of the House for the first time in 40 years. He was also the first pundit to comment on President Bush outperforming exit polls on Election Night 2004. No one can predict the future, but no one comes closer than Michael Barone.

Using a combination of polling data, trends, and his own experience, Barone estimates an outcome of 219 seats for Democrats to 216 for the Republicans. Basically, it’s too close to call. Conservatives, make sure you vote!

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Germany Steps up under Merkel

Posted by Ryan on October 25, 2006

Angela Merkel’s government has decided that needs a military of theater/global caliber to be able to join international peace-keeping and stabilization forces in conflicts around the world. It’s about time another member of Old Europe step up besides the Brits!

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Republicans Win?

Posted by Ryan on October 23, 2006

Here’s what Barrons has to say about the election in 15 days: watch out Dems, the Republicans could keep Congress if history repeats itself. Not looking a polls of “adults” that oversample Democrats and libs, Barrons looked at the connection between raising money and victory. Since 1972, 93% of House candidates that raise more money have won. That’s up to 98% since 1994. That’s a net Republican loss of 12 in the House and minus 4 in the Senate if that translates. In other words: watch out Dems, the Republicans may not be out just yet!

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My Vote is to Stay the Course

Posted by Ryan on October 21, 2006

Just like President Bush, I can see a number of really bad things happening in Iraq if we leave too early or bend to election year political pressure at the expense of national security. Adjusting tactics is just smart if they don’t happen to be working, but that doesn’t mean “redeploying” to Okinawa, handing Southern Iraq to Iranian sponsored Shiite militias, or giving up on 15 million people who voted for the unity government.

My point’s always been that since we’ve handed over the government functions to the Iraqis, failure in that country is no longer an American failure. How much can we possibly do? What else could we possibly do for them? I believe it would be an Iraqi failure for not stepping up, an Arab failure for their unwillingness to help, a UN failure for watching and gloating as bad things happen, and a victory for those who seek ill-will towards anti-terrorist America.

Back to reality–lately it has been Ramadan, the Muslim holy month where those killing infidels and dying in jihad go straight to the virgin rooms in Heaven. It should make sense that in a country full of Islamic terrorists that incidents of violence go up when Heaven’s on the line. Look for the numbers to go down in November.

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Dow Hits 12K–Eerie Quiet in Libtown

Posted by Ryan on October 19, 2006

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 12,000 today for the first time ever, making today’s close an all-time record. Generally, the DJIA is a stock market that throughout the entire Twentieth Century (especially the 1990s) was a barometer for economic health. Having hit a new high, this may be a good thing.

But, it’s election season.

So, some analysts can’t see passed gloomy points like “the market is looking past an economy that is still contracting.” Talk like this helps promote the liberal paradigm that Republican economic policies cannot produce anything good. If the Dow falls 200 points tomorrow the big story will be its fall, not its rise. Just like Bush and the Republicans always going down in the polls… but usually to the same bottom (some may infer that their numbers must have gone up to have fallen back down…hmm didn’t hear about that part).

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Iran is Watching…

Posted by Ryan on October 17, 2006

…Watching the UN fail again on North Korea. A pundit on one of the talking head shows the other day said that this diplomatic mess with Iran and North Korea is the failure of the “multilateralism” of Bush’s second term. When we were “unilateral” (a term I can’t stand with 30+ nations having aided something to the Iraq effort), the President had success in setting the agenda and getting results on AQ Khan, Libya, and a “Coalition of the Willing” in Iraq. Since we’ve been primarily relying on the UN for action, dark clouds have converged over the Korean Peninsula and on the effort to calm Iran’s ambitions.

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How About Some Optimism!

Posted by Ryan on October 14, 2006

Well, here is some optimism about the 2006 election:

Here. Election Projection says its all about turnout.

Here. Hannity talks about Air America.

Here. Rush gets mad at insiders not doing enough, but is optimistic nonetheless.

Here. “The Architect” himself is upbeat about GOP prospects.

I agree that turnout will be the key to victory. Let’s not forget that in nearly every election since 1994, including 1994, the Democrats were projected to win Congress by “polls” taken before the election. They didn’t. Why should this year be any different? 2004 proved that turnout now helps Republicans. Remeber Pennsylvania’s exit polls? It’s simple math that can lead to maintaining Republican control.

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Victim of Terrorism Speaks Out on Campaign ’06

Posted by Ryan on October 13, 2006

Brigitte Gabriel has an amazingly sad story that she shares with us in her book “Because They Hate.” The link is an excerpt of a speech she gave in February on the nature of our enemy from someone who lived in Lebanon where she and her family were repeatedly attacked because they were Christian. She was interviewed on Cavuto today when she started reading (in Arabic, then in English) pressers and newspaper articles from terrorist sympathizers in the Middle East. They were openly rooting for the Democrats in 2006, since they believe, according to her, that the Democrat’s policy positions will make life easier for them, and that a divided America suits them perfectly. I was searching intently for a transcript. If I find one, I’ll link to it here.

Of course, in moments of intellectual clarity we know that Bin Laden practically waved Kerry-Edwards campaign signs in 2004 for the reasons Gabriel points to. It’s a sad state of affairs when given this unambiguous fact that the Dems look like they’ll do very well in the elections held in three and a half weeks.

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OK Class, It’s Spelled T-R-E-A-S-O-N

Posted by Ryan on October 12, 2006

Adam Gadahn, formerly of the OC, is an American actively recruiting for al Qaeda in foreign lands as “Azzam the American.” So, a federal grand-jury moved forward in charging Gadahn with this thing called “treason.” He has left California and has become an al Qaeda hero for being an American AND for his justification for killing Americans. Watch his transition here (there are also further links to his actual taped speeches).

He is the first person officially charged by the US government with treason since 1952. Is this mere grandstanding since he’s apt never to come back here? Or is it sending a stern message to potential Californian terrorist-sympathizers here in the USA? Or maybe it’s showing that it’s just about time words mean things again in this country.

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Intelligent Choice?

Posted by Ryan on October 10, 2006

Intelligent design was smacked down again, this time in Michigan. Of course, the article misrepresents Michael J. Behe, Larry Witham and William A. Dembski‘s idea that Darwin’s concept of natural selection has serious intellectual and observable, logical scientific fallacies. Behe does not overtly support God as the reason for everything, but he does note, as Einstein and others have noted, that there is an order to the way things work in the universe, and that this order in undeniable in the face of statistical probability. Also, you can support evolution, but reject Darwinism. They are not mutually exclusive. Reading Annie C‘s new book and her section on this issue and its unnecessary political impact.

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Posted by Ryan on October 10, 2006

Torre’s sticking around! Steinbrenner’s not giving him the ax. I actually heard that firing Torre and replacing him with Piniella was a real, honest-to-goodness joke!

Whereas I do believe in accountability and generally support the standard put forth by the phrase “What have you done for me lately?”, I also think that potentially axing Torre would have been a bit extreme. He did win a number of World Series with them and they have been a perennial playoff team during most of his tenure.

Posted in Sports | 3 Comments »

A New Baseball Fan Gets a Disappointment

Posted by Ryan on October 8, 2006

Yesterday was very disappointing to me. The Yankees lost the ALDS to the Detroit Tigers 3 games to 1. Plenty of blame is going around, of course. Getting a reputation for winning leaves people with high expectations, especially at a $197 million player price tag being beaten by a $80.3 million roster. The Yankees are expected to win and when they don’t, heads roll– perhaps even Joe Torre‘s. I understand. Also, Detroit is no doubt a great story this season.

However, having grown up in Red Sox country I never connected with them, preferring the Celtics and Patriots. Baseball seemed boring. After moving to NJ, I really had a clean slate with baseball, not hating or loving either side of the famed Sox-Yanks rivalry, fuming more over the Jets and Broncos. So, with the goading of a few friends I started watching baseball, following the Yankees since they were the local team and, well, let’s face it– deep down I just can’t be a Mets fan. I even went to a Yankee game last season, went to the Baseball Hall of Fame over the summer (oddly small building, by the way), and had a basic clue about how the AL East was shaping up throughout most of the season.

Nonetheless, they lost and this new baseball fan is disappointed. Yet, the Pats are now 4-1 after vanquishing the Dolphins today. Things always get better when football’s in the air.

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Hippies or Hicks?

Posted by Ryan on October 7, 2006

File this one under “anything else,” but apparently there is a child in this world whose name is literally ESPN Montana (after Joe) Real. Supremely ardent Red-America football fans or free-wheeling granola-suckin’ weirdos ready to potentially damn their child to eternal freakdom? Either way, it brings me back to something my 11th Grade English teacher at BHHS used to say in between stories about a kid named Cheese:

“There are two things in this world you are not responsible for as a child– your looks and your name. Everything else is your fault.”

Poor kid. Read the article– apparently he’s not alone!

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Foleygate: Round 2

Posted by Ryan on October 5, 2006

On the Mark Foley scandal: Matt Drudge has all sort of headlines today that you’re not hearing ANYWHERE else. I feel silly saying this again and again before a “however,” but Mark Foley did resign in disgrace, even his own conscience tells him he did something wrong, and prosecutions may/should still be coming.

However, Drudge has been fueling the idea that this is more than just a simple lurid almost-sex-scandal, but something larger, organized and intentionally promoted by anti-Republican forces. Hmm…

Of course, beyond the wishful thinking that this may go away or possibly even hurt the Dems, I also believe that the Dems and the MSM have done real damage to the GOP and Speaker Hastert by pouncing on this. They’ve taken control of the issue by intentionally blurring the difference between the emails and the IMs as if they were the same thing, and running with that presumption. It’s frustrating, but I like that Hastert’s standing strong, will not resign, and has turned the issue on those who exposed this story in the first place for the purpose of maximum show and political damage.

Maybe sometime soon we can talk once again about the economy, keeping the tax cuts, and winning the War on Terror by being aggressive in this election season. You know, issues where Republicans easily outclass the Dems.

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Are They Listening? Yup, Still Listening!

Posted by Ryan on October 4, 2006

The NSA’s warrantless surveillance program was allowed to continue today by the 6th Circuit Court of Appeals. Among the reasons cited in this article was that the program’s continuation during the appeals process was in the “public interest.” I think that speaks for itself–if the program had real and serious constitutional issues, then why allow it to continue? Isn’t that a further trampling on people’s rights? Unless, of course, the program is vital to winning the War on Terror, and the program in this case protects more than it harms us.

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MA Judicial activism affects Ocean State

Posted by Sal on October 2, 2006

Yet another judicial activism from a Liberal judge in the State of MA. This time, a Massachusetts state judge is interpreting Rhode Island law. A Suffolk County Superior Court judge ruled that RI same-sex couples could have marriages performed in MA, because RI law does not expressly prohibit Same-sex marriage. This opens a flood of same-sex couples from RI to get married in MA.

Rhode Island Attorney General Patrick Lynch, however, has stated that these marriages will not be recognized in RI, opening the door for a federal “full faith and credit” lawsuit.

Now, I’m no lawyer, and maybe the more legally-minded readers of this board can add more insight, but if laws involve interstate issues, they need to be settled at the federal level, not at the state level. The ruling oligarchy of the People’s Republic of Massachusetts (a.k.a. the Judiciary) is again trying to impose its will on the American people, and this time, state boundaries are not even a concern of theirs.

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Double Standard?

Posted by Ryan on October 2, 2006

Representative Mark Foley should go to jail no matter how much “rehab” he gets if the allegations are true. Recitivism for these kinds of crimes is ridiculously high and the only hope for our youth is to lock up these predators. Unfortunately, this is not the first time that Congress has had to deal with lurid sex scandals, and the Republicans are at least honest about dealing with the problem.

That being said, I understand the outrage coming from members of Congress, including the Dems in this political season, but where were the Dems on these particular issues?

  1. Barney Frank and his affiar with a male prostitute Steve Gobie led to an investigation, a House reprimand, and oddly his subsequent eight reelections and a documentary as a champion of gay rights.
  2. Gerry Studds was sexually involved with a Congressional page who was a minor, but he only got censured because he came out as a homosexual, the first openly gay Congressman. Young Georgia Congressman Newt Gingrich wanted him and a Republican with a similar issue tossed from the chamber, but the Dems had other plans for Studds, who served until 1996.
  3. Bill Clinton… former Arkansas Governor and US President, sexual predator, perjurer, obstructor of investigations, disbarred lawyer, and of course the loyal and devoted husband (ahem). Republicans were picking on him, of course.

Where was the outrage within the Democratic party in these and other cases? I think there is a bit of a double standard here. I hope the Republicans can mute this issue as a “systemic” problem by citing these and other examples.

Posted in Politics | 3 Comments »

I’m Still Worried

Posted by Ryan on October 1, 2006

A recent online Time article states that essentially, top-level Republicans are not as panicked about the upcoming Midterm elections as conventional wisdom or the MSM would like you to believe. They cite the huge money flow into local get-out-the-vote drives and a political infrastructure that has been developed by Karl Rove and others since the shouldn’t-have-been-that-close 2000 Election. With the money and people in place, turnout should aid the GOP. Just keeping either house is the ultimate goal, so retaining any majority means victory.

But I’m still worried. Bush’s numbers were up, and are back down again in many polls. Why? Same reason as always: Bush hides for weeks at a time, speaks now and again, then goes back into hiding, dragging the party with him each time.

As for the party, I believe the moderates continue make life difficult. Ever since I’ve been paying attention to politics, moderate Republicans have been electorally weak, since Dems can usurp their position and cover themselves with that “well at least Democrats care, unlike those mean Republicans” bilge. I think it’ll be about turnout, and with the moderate Republicans dragging the party down being mostly wrong about immigration, War on Terror detainees, and not staying with the responsible position on Iraq, I’m not confident in the prospect of a decent turnout.

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