Axis of Right

Three Native Rhode Islanders Commenting From the Right on Politics and Anything Else

Archive for September 6th, 2007

Overlooking the Obvious

Posted by Mike on September 6, 2007

The Baltimore Sun is positively giddy over the latest poll showing She Who Must Not Be Named leading various Republicans in a hypothetical general election matchup in Ohio. The lead example was her seven point lead over Rudy Giuliani, up from dead even last month. The Sun takes this as evidence of Ohio trending toward the Democrats, and by default toward SWMNBN.

I don’t deny that Ohio probably is trending toward the donkeys at this point thanks to the incompetent Ohio GOP. That said, the Sun is missing something really obvious about this survey. I’m sure most of you have heard this before because it’s political science 101: polls are more indicative of public opinion when taken some time after Labor Day because people don’t pay attention to politics during the summer.

If SWMNBN is tied with a Republican candidate at the beginning of August, and leads the same Republican candidate at the beginning of September, that is not evidence of an oncoming Democrat tidal wave. It’s evidence of the fact that people have a higher opinion of SWMNBN when they aren’t paying any attention to her. This is no surprise. Whether the issue is her desire to confiscate other people’s hard-earned dollars, centralize health care in the hands of an inefficient government, undermine a war effort she voted to authorize, or support legalized abortion at any time by any method for any reason, SWMNBN will have lots of screeching . . . er, explaining to do when she needs to ask non-New Yorkers to vote for her.

As for this poll, I’m not impressed.

AP photo

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Fred’s In… Finally!

Posted by Ryan on September 6, 2007

Fred Thompson is officially in the race for the Republican nomination.  We now have another candidate to seriously think about.  He annouced on “The Tonight Show” with Jay Leno, and released a 15-minute commercial after last night’s debate.  I also heard a speech he gave today and he sounded good. 

No real specifics, but he said all the right things:  “sanctity of life,” rights from God not government, federalism is cool, he understands the nature of our dangerous world, loathes goverment spending bankrupting future generations, knowing the difference between activist judges and the ones he’d appoint, America has shed more blood for the liberty of other people than any other nation in history and we ought to appreciate that and not keep apologizing, and so forth.  He also looked good.  I know this is shallow, but it is reality today.  My problem with Fred was that I didn’t sense strong energy from him in the past.  He seemed tired and put-off.  This speech showed that he’s got a strong optimistic streak with a quiet confidence that will really attract many depressed Republicans looking for an “electable” conservative alternative to Rudy, Mitt or McCain.  So far so good, but it’s only day 1.

Now that he’s in I want to hear specific plans.  I want to know how he’s better than the other candidates.  I want to see him at a debate.  I want to hear him on the campaign trail talking to people who will ask him a tough question.  I want him to go through a full-fledged media meat grinder.  I want to know why I should support him or just hold my nose against the stench of lesser candidates. 

Daily Mail photo.

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