Pinkerton: Divided Government Means McCain Wins
Posted by Ryan on August 10, 2008
Jim Pinkerton from “The American Conservative” has a new artcile on the Fox Forum which lays out his idea about why he thinks McCain will win in November. His thought: because the Dems are slated to sweep Congress, McCain will be elected President so that the “divided government” concept since World War II will be continued.
I have a problem with this thesis: the numbers don’t look good for Republicans and winning Congress will be a tough slog, but I’ve heard that every election year except 2002 — there were serious tectonic forces at work in 1994, but aside from Michael Barone few people even noticed. So, this idea that the Republicans have no shot is nothing new and lately has been wrong most of the time. Plus, if the Republicans actually run against the socialist Democrat agenda (rather than as Democrat-lite) then I believe this year won’t be the apocalypse some think it will be.
With Congressional approval ratings at historic lows, why wouldn’t there be a possibility for a Republican resurgence, especially in Blue-Dog districts? Take back those seats and the Reps have the House. The Senate’s another issue since only 1/3 are up this year, not all in safe states. Yet, with energy being the #1 issue for voters and the Iraq War turning the corner, Republican ideas on war and the economy are actually and substantively being vindicated less than three months before Election Day.
In the end, I suppose the moral of this election could be either: if you think you’re going to lose, you will; or win the battle in the arena of ideas and the victory is yours.