Posted by Ryan on September 8, 2008
Real Clear Politics has, for the first time all summer, McCain beating Obama by 2.9% when all major polls are averaged together. Some outliers even have McCain up by as much as 10 points!
However, this is the important question for me at this juncture: is this just a typical convention bounce of about 6-8 points which is destined to moderate, or is this a post-Convention surge which propels this election into a new, more positive direction for McCain-Palin now that the “folks” have started paying attention?
Of course, I’d like to believe that when the polls settle down later this week that McCain will still be up by a few. I’d also like McCain to at least hit and maintain 50% or higher for a few days. It would make me feel better about November. Regardless, the Friday-Sunday polling data is pretty cool and I’ll enjoy basking in these numbers for the time being. Truth is, however, the numbers just mean more work needs to be done to repel Obama’s predictably persistent counter attacks.
Posted in Blogroll, Election 2008, Media Bias, Politics | Tagged: McCain-Palin, Obama, Real Clear Politics | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Ryan on September 7, 2008
Things must have been really bad for the Dems last week: some are beginning to bring up race as the reason why Obama might lose again. The latest Gallup Poll has McCain up by three (48-45%), which includes Palin’s speech. Obama’s still up by 0.8% in the RCP average, but that includes a few ridiculous pro-Obama outliers.
Tomorrow all the three-day rolling polls will include McCain’s address and show us the true bounce that came out of the RNC. I hope it’s about +4 in the “Likely Voter” polls — “Registered Voters” and “Adults” won’t tell us as much, especially the latter.
Posted in Blogroll, Election 2008, Media Bias, Politics | Tagged: Barack Obama, Gallup poll, John McCain, Real Clear Politics, Republican National Convention | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Ryan on March 8, 2008
…And that’s one reason why I hope he’ll lose in America!
I was thumbing through my usual cites for something to post this morning when this piece posted on RCP emerged and struck a very dissonant chord with me. Guy Sorman’s “Europe Loves Obama” piece was hard to read since I wasn’t too sure if he was being tongue-in-cheek or not. He’s definitely a Leftist Europhile and had a few outrageous things to say as to why Europe loves Obama:
Obama is a “good American” like Michael Moore, Robert Redford, Noam Chomsky, and Mia Farrow, not a “bad American” like Billy Graham, Dubya and Cheney.
Europe loves minorities while America oppresses our minorities, going as far as to say “whites started the war in Iraq.”
Europe infers that Obama is pro-Palestinian by the company he keeps and thereby might stick it to the Jews.
Obama’s a death-penalty abolitionist, he’s protectionist, and “reserved about his faith:” all things European elites love.
And finally Sorman states of European sentiment: “The good American is expected neither to trade nor to fight terrorism. If more Americans were good, in fact, there would be no terrorists, as the Left in both Europe and the U.S. often contends.”
Having re-read the article several times, I’m still not sure if Sorman was trying to make a point about European elitist absurdity or laying out these points as pluses for Obama!
Nonetheless, I’m surprised that an article like this is appearing so early in the campaign cycle. Usually we get these kinds of stories closer to the general or even in the Fall as a last ditch effort for Europe to meddle in our affairs. Remember the Daily Mirror‘s “How could 59 million people be so dumb?” post-2004 Election issue (strangely, after it was all said and done, John Kerry actually ended up with around 59 million votes to Bush’s 62 million)? If Europe was so awesome and advice-worthy, why aren’t we talking about who the American people would like to be the next leader of the EU? Exactly. I have tended to vote against whoever European elites want running America, and apparently will proudly continue to do so in 2008 as well.
Posted in Anything Else, Blogroll, Election 2008, Europe, Politics | Tagged: Barack Obama, Daily Mirror, Dick Cheney, European elitist, George W. Bush, Guy Sorman, John Kerry, Real Clear Politics | 1 Comment »